Adds $10M Cash & $19M CIRM Alzheimer’s Funding
PMD Progressing to PII After Unprecedented Results
HuCNS-SC® Improves Spinal Cord Injury Patients
HuCNS-SC® Trial for Dry AMD Adds New Site
Download Full 30-Page Update Report with Important Disclosures: STEM Update 05-20-13
1.) $19.3M from CIRM For Alzheimer’s Disease: On April 11, 2013 StemCells, Inc. announced the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM) will provide approximately $19.3M, as a forgivable loan, to help fund preclinical development and IND-enabling activities of HuCNS-SC for Alzheimer’s disease. The goal of the research will be to file an Investigational New Drug (IND) application with the FDA within four years. According to a RAND study published in The New England Journal of Medicine April 4, 2013, the total U.S. monetary cost of dementia was between $157B billion and $215B with Medicare paying approximately $11B making Alzheimer’s disease more costly to the U.S. than either heart disease or cancer. Investors should also note this comes after 2 failures last year for Alzheimer’s disease drugs, the August 24th failure of Eli Lilly’s (NYSE:LLY) solanezumab and the July 23rd failure of Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) and Johnson & Johnson’s (NYSE:JNJ) bapineuzumab. There remains no adequate treatment for Alzheimer’s disease.
2.) StemCells Inc. Adds More Cash: On April 9, 2013, StemCells Inc. announced that $10M in debt financing from Silicon Valley Bank for general corporate purposes. This results in a pro forma cash balance of $27M at March 31, 2013. The 3-year loan will accrue interest at 6% per year. For the first six months, payments will be interest only and then the loan will be amortized over 30 months with a final $1M payment at the end of the term.
3.) Pelizaeus-Merzbacher Disease (PMD) Moving to Phase II After Unprecedented Results Seen in Phase I: StemCells Inc. has had discussions with global experts and is designing the Phase II clinical trial. They will request a pre-protocol submission meeting with the FDA to finalize the protocol for formal submission. On October 10, 2012, 2 peer-reviewed papers described the successful preclinical animal studies and the successfully completed Phase I human trial using their HuCNS-SC® (purified human neural stem cells) for severe myelination disorders. The human trial results showed 1.) Small but measureable gains in motor and/or cognitive function in 3 of the 4 patients 2.) After 1 year, MRI showed changes compatible with increased myelination in the region of the transplantation and it persisted even after immunosuppression was stopped at 9 months and in fact, progressed over time and 3.) The development of new myelin signals is unprecedented in patients with conatal PMD and is consistent with HuCNS-SC engraftment. (see Pelizaeus-Merzbacher Disease (PMD) Background & Development Program)
4.) Unexpected Improvements in Spinal Cord Injury in Most Severe Patients: On February 12, 2013, StemCells Inc. announced the final 12-month data from the 1st patient cohort (AIS-A) in the Phase I/II clinical trial for chronic spinal cord injury. The results showed that the gains in sensory function observed in 2 of the 3 patients at 6 months persisted for the 12 month period. Of particular note is that 1 patient improved from being classified as a complete injury (AIS-A) to being reclassified as an incomplete injury (AIS-B). The third patient remains stable and the HuCNS-SC® continued to demonstrate a favorable safety profile. StemCells Inc. is now enrolling the 2nd cohort (AIS-B) with incomplete spinal cord injury which represents the 1st time neural stem cells have been transplanted into a patient that still has sensory function below the injury. (see Chronic Spinal Cord Injury Background & Development Program)
5.) Patient Implantation Continues for Dry AMD Phase I/II Trial: StemCells, Inc. management indicated that they have implanted 3 patient with HuCNS-SC® in their Phase I/II trial for Dry Age-Related Macular Degeneration (Dry AMD). They added an additional site, Byers Eye Institute at Stanford, in April 2013 and will be adding more enrollment sites during the year. Investors should note that this first cohort of patients consists of very advanced disease and is focused primarily on safety. The trial is an open-label dose-escalating trial in 16 patients treating their worst eye with a single injection into the space beneath the retina and results evaluated over the course of 12 months. Importantly, 85% of all AMD patients currently have the Dry form and 100% of patients with the more serious Wet form progressed from the initial Dry form. The dry form can also cause vision loss without turning into the wet form. (see Dry Age-Related Macular Degeneration (Dry AMD) Background & Development)
6.) We are reiterating a Strong Speculative Buy with a Price Target of $4.50 as StemCells Inc. has evolved into one of the most advanced players in the stem cell space. StemCells Inc.’s HuCNS-SC® (purified human neural stem cells) have shown unprecedented results in human patients for Pelizaeus-Merzbacher Disease (PMD) and for Complete Thoracic Spinal Cord Injury and both programs are continuing to progress. In addition, the Dry AMD trial is progressing with additional trial sites. CIRM’s $19M funding for HuCNS-SC® in Alzheimer’s Disease validates their research demonstrating for the first time that human neural stem cells can have a significant effect on memory in two different animal models. (see Alzheimer’s Disease Background & Development Program). We believe the StemCells Inc. management team and science continues to be successfully validated. Our Strong Speculative Buy rating and 12-18 month target price of $4.50 is based on 35x estimated 2017 EPS discounted 50% for cumulative risks in a first-in-class stem cell therapy.
Download Full 30-Page Update Report with Important Disclosures: STEM Update 05-20-13









